Bibcode
Pallé, E.; Shahbaz, T.; Čalogović, Jasa; Laken, B. A.
Bibliographical reference
Journal of Geophysical Research, Volume 117, Issue D18, CiteID D18112
Advertised on:
9
2012
Citations
2
Refereed citations
2
Description
A recent study has suggested a link between the surface level diurnal
temperature range (DTR) and variations in the cosmic ray (CR) flux. As
the DTR is an effective proxy for cloud cover, this result supports the
notion that widespread cloud changes may be induced by the CR flux. If
confirmed, this would have significant implications for our
understanding of natural climate forcings. Here, we perform a detailed
investigation of the relationships between DTR and solar activity (total
solar irradiance and the CR flux) from more than 60 years of
NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and observations from meteorological station
data. We find no statistically significant evidence to suggest that the
DTR is connected to either long-term solar periodicities (11 or
1.68-year) or short-term (daily timescale) fluctuations in solar
activity, and we attribute previous reports on the contrary to an
incorrect estimation of the statistical significance of the data. If a
CR–DTR relationship exists, based on the estimated noise in DTR
composites during Forbush decrease (FD) events, the DTR response would
need to be larger than 0.03°C per 1% increase in the CR flux to be
reliably detected. Compared with a much smaller rough estimate of
‑0.005°C per 1% increase in the CR flux expected if previous
claims that FD events cause reductions in the cloud cover are valid, we
conclude it is not possible to detect a solar related responses in
station-based or reanalysis-based DTR data sets related to a
hypothesized CR–cloud link, as potential signals would be drowned
in noise.